Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 88.903054 101.344705 115.875383 134.354887 157.613987 186.466809 225.887821
2024-10-20 72.739158 88.296318 108.378515 137.134532 178.993950 240.960758 347.248116
2024-10-27 62.556868 78.716716 100.844441 134.972520 189.768356 282.215844 474.214704
2024-11-03 58.382745 75.917282 101.286288 143.357520 218.130560 364.279906 752.247736
2024-11-10 57.433916 77.248586 107.624072 162.187400 271.462804 529.991565 1537.312093
2024-11-17 52.921920 72.526930 103.579996 162.040786 288.147842 628.084777 2458.947781
2024-11-24 48.964452 68.118462 99.271893 160.256578 300.549370 727.655494 4060.103508
2024-12-01 45.393296 63.905214 94.658744 156.810442 307.778605 820.848979 6934.771542
2024-12-08 42.779813 60.963170 91.838962 156.368787 322.677116 965.364314 16072.572488
2024-12-15 40.646742 58.597097 89.723269 156.948649 340.913656 1159.269975 70206.176537
2024-12-22 37.978745 55.099288 85.132460 151.203363 338.371613 1246.426474 453043.306245
2024-12-29 36.979292 54.361064 85.600893 157.076598 375.558472 1680.410923 NaN
2025-01-05 34.205403 50.543498 80.189678 149.094564 366.451420 1792.480876 NaN
2025-01-12 32.823145 49.098894 79.314746 152.279201 401.347062 2523.395503 NaN
2025-01-19 31.052099 46.797402 76.441303 149.754949 413.176413 3137.637319 NaN
2025-01-26 30.548151 46.734198 78.088260 159.572872 486.908360 6164.435886 NaN
2025-02-02 30.938429 48.347874 83.480605 181.790068 655.133298 34792.825198 NaN
2025-02-09 29.673295 46.702833 81.550054 181.616196 697.433403 110318.783812 NaN
2025-02-16 28.399872 44.946869 79.176184 179.501373 726.438591 764603.435963 NaN
2025-02-23 27.116280 43.085811 76.379148 175.422421 738.438137 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.146091 41.778910 74.734977 174.900216 780.846438 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.317690 40.698388 73.511135 175.585861 837.918245 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 24.148675 38.869483 70.355550 168.802066 817.707562 NaN NaN